Simulate a fully-invested equity portfolio that each year spends what a life annuity would pay — with optional income streams, multi-asset accounts, income tax, and long-term-care modeling. Results in today's dollars.
Simulate a fully-invested equity portfolio that each year spends what a life annuity would pay — with optional income streams, multi-asset accounts, income tax, and long-term-care modeling. Results in today's dollars.
For educational and informational purposes only — not investment, tax, or legal advice. Appropriate decisions depend on your individual circumstances, which this tool does not consider.
The results are hypothetical and do not reflect any actual investment. They come from a Monte Carlo simulation that resamples historical annual returns (the chosen return sample) and applies the assumptions you entered. The model is a 100% equity portfolio that each year spends what a life annuity would pay on the current balance; it is not the purchase of an annuity — there is no income guarantee and no mortality pooling, so the balance can be depleted.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical samples may not represent the future; left-tail outcomes are especially uncertain. All figures are shown in today's dollars unless labeled nominal.
Taxes are modeled only as the simple schedules you enter — an ordinary-income deduction and tiers applied to real values, plus optional flat rates on account distributions. The simulation does not model capital-gains brackets, required minimum distributions, state taxes, advisory or fund fees, transaction costs, or rebalancing. Annuity-equivalent spending is priced from SOA mortality tables (or, optionally, live quotes) at a discount rate you set and omit insurer loads. Equity returns are restated to a constant-inflation basis except in the dynamic mode (available with the United States and Global index samples).
Return data: US S&P 500 total return (Damodaran/NYU Stern) and CPI-U (BLS); the global and post-WWII samples use the Jordà–Schularick–Taylor Macrohistory Database and the cap-weighted global index additionally uses the Kuvshinov–Zimmermann Big Bang stock market database (both used under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) and, from 2009, the realized returns of Vanguard's VT ETF. See the Methodology for full details and references.
Software is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, without warranty of any kind: view license.